Overview

10/4/00

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Table of Contents

PPT Slide

Overview

Problems

Recommendation 

Some history

DDPDA: 1994

DDPDA: 1994

DDPDA: 1996 

DDPDA: 1996

DDPDA:1997

DDPDA: 1997

DDPDA:1998

DDPDA: 1998

DDPDA: 1998

Skill Trend

Conceptual Model

DDPDA Function

PPT Slide

PPT Slide

Downburst Predictions

DDPDA Input: Reflectivity Data

DDPDA Input: Radial Velocity Parameters

DDPDA Input:Environmental Parameters

DDPDA Output

DDPDA Output

PPT Slide

PPT Slide

Terms

Scoring terms

More Scoring Terms

DDPDA scoring

Determining “hits” and “misses”

Determining “hits” and “misses”

Determining “hits” and “misses”

More on scoring

More on scoring

Verification Data Set

Details...

DDPDA: 1999

DDPDA: 1999

DDPDA: 1999

DDPDA: 1999

DDPDA scoring (“Predictions”)

DDPDA scoring (“Predictions”)

Variables in the equation

Notes on Analysis

Some causes of failure

Skill Trend

Other Algorithm Performance

Tucson WDSS test feedback

DDPDA: 2000

FAA Wind-shear requirements

FAA Wind-shear requirements

Radar coverage of airports

Future Work

Recommendation 

Author: Travis M. smith 

Email: smith@nssl.noaa.gov

Home Page: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~tsmith